The early odds snipers were circling when the TAB put up $26 for the Sir Mark Todd trained He’s Eminent to win the Ranvet Stakes this weekend.
The 2000m race to be run at Rosehill on an expected wet surface looks to be a re-run of the Australian Cup along with a few notable international additions.
Alarm bells are ringing when you read more into the form and drama behind the son of Frankel’s arrival in Australia. “His heart was not really in it”, said his previous trainer Martyn Meade, upon retiring the horse.
The horse was essentially retired due to heart issues at the end of 2018 by trainer Martyn Meade, before New Zealand owner Sir Pete Vela decided to send him to Australia for a campaign, instead of starting immediate stud duties in New Zealand. He is being aimed at the Ranvet and Queen Elizabeth.
He’s Eminent’s career highlight to date is victory in the 2017 Prix Guillaume d’Ornano, given a dominant front running ride by Ryan Moore to score a 3 length victory in Group 2 class.
While it may appear all sunshine and rainbows, the form lines tell the true story.
A promising world-class competitor in 2017, He’s Eminent (racing as Eminent) had 6 runs in 2017 for a Group 2 victory, Group 3 victory, 3rd, 4th, 5th and 6th in Group 1s in the UK and France.
By all accounts, and the data backed it up with multiple 120 Timeform* ratings; this was a horse that could measure up world-wide in any race, on any surface rating, between the distances of 1600 and 2400m.
Unfortunately for connections, his form fell away significantly in 2018, turned over as a $1.60 favourite first up in May due to a fibrillating heart condition. He then produced a rating no better than 111 on Timeform* all year, recording his best figure for the year in his last run of the season, beaten 7 lengths over 2400m in Group 3 class.
So you haven’t heard of Sir Mark Todd? Don’t be surprised. He hasn’t trained a horse in over 10 years and the last horse he travelled over the ditch (outside of equestrian events) was with Bramble Rose in 2003, who ran third in the AJC Australian Oaks at Royal Randwick. Without the ultimate gear change, gelding, this well bred colt is a boom or bust proposition.
*Timeform is a market leading UK based ratings system. I find Timeform ratings information invaluable when measuring up the quality of an international runner when having their first start in Australia.
Unlike most in the game, Drew wasn’t born with a form guide in his hand or a great love for the game. Drew became interested in horse racing after starting his website, The Profits, in 2012 focusing on NBA and AFL. Entering the twitter landscape, Drew quickly saw the engagement and passion shown by the community for horse racing and started looking deeper into the data before previewing his first race in 2013. What started out as interest in a sport has quickly turned into a love-affair that will last a lifetime.