The Five to Follow

Spring is right on our door step with the new racing season now in full swing, the good horses are back in action for their upcoming campaigns and there is plenty of excitement building with what might be. In this article we’ve highlighted five horses that we think you can follow over the Spring Carnival and hopefully win on either on race day or when betting into futures markets.

Kolding 4yo Gelding trained by Chris Waller
Since the ultimate gear change of a gelding Kolding has gone to the next level, last preparation he put together a picket fence winning four races in a row. He raced his way into group class success where he took out the Group 2 Queensland Guineas at Eagle Farm in June on that day he started a $2.80 favourite beating home Baccarat Baby & Pohutukawa in impressive style and running a career best figure on the PuntingForm.com.au data of +8.8 lengths above the all benchmark. The progression he made last preparation showed he is a talented galloper and his form and numbers indicate he is well up to Group class racing which is where we will see him over the spring. After his Queensland Guineas win trainer Chris Waller was interviewed about Kolding’s likely targets to which he stated that the galloper would plot a path towards the Epsom Handicap over 1600m in the spring. I envision that he’ll take the traditional Epsom lead-up path with races like the Tramway and the Bill Ritchie over 1400m looking like ideal lead ups for his grand final. We think can continue his winning ways in the spring En route to the Epsom Handicap where he is currently around $15 with most corporates.

Feature Race Replay: Kolding’s Queensland Guineas victory

Exceedance 3yo Colt trained by Team Hawkes
After a breathtaking debut at Wyong where he came from a mile back to win he was on people’s radar as a future star. He then went to Rosehill at his next start , where he was off the map in the betting with as much as $6 bet early which was quickly snapped up into $2.60 before he drifted back out to a starting price of $3.70 , much to punters disappointment he couldn’t get the job done and flashed for an unlucky 3rd where recorded the fastest closing last 800,600,400 and 200m sections of the entire meeting on the PuntingForm.com.au data, he also returned a massive last 600m figure on the PuntingForm.com.au data of +20.2 lengths above the all benchmark which is a ridiculously big close at only his 2nd  start. Jockey Tommy Berry gave a glowing report about the colt after his Rosehill defeat saying “It’s scary how good this horse is, He is one of the nicest young horses I’ve ridden in my career”. The figures he has produced suggests he has elite closing speed which is what you need to be measuring at Group 1 level with his racing pattern and that’s where we will most likely be seeing him, he is the current $8 favourite for the 1400m G1 Golden Rose with Sportsbet and $7 with the TAB. He looks a very exciting horse and will be one of the top seeds in the 3yo ranks in the next season.

Feature Race Replay: Exceedance’s Rosehill 3rd placing

Flit 3yo Filly trained by James Cummings
She may only have had three starts but gee Flit has shown plenty of talent to date, She was a moral beaten in her first start at Bendigo where she started in the red in betting when badly held up. She then went on to break her maiden in the Group 3 Thoroughbred Club Stakes over 1200m down the Flemington straight for the 2yo fillies and on that day she dead heated with the talented Ready Set Sail and even though relative to the day her figures weren’t huge it was the style that she did it that impressed most and the form read well as Ready Set Sail gapped Cheer Leader who had placed behind top 2yo colt Microphone the start before. She again was given around a month between runs and travelled up to Sydney for the million dollar Group 2 Percy Sykes Stakes where the JMac took the ride and settled near last in the early stages, rounding the corner she was still last in running and at the 400m mark gave the leader 6.5 lengths head start before she motored home to finish 2nd beaten less than a half head by Anaheed. It was a stiff beat as one stride after the post she was in front and she was also very strong through the line, Her closing sectionals were phenomenal running the 5th quickest last 400m and 4th quickest 200m section on the day. The closing splits were faster than Winx and Classique Legend who won on the day which shows us she has a blistering turn of foot. We love everything about this filly from her laid-back attitude to her faultless long striding action and believe she is a serious racehorse who will be prominent in the 3yo filly features. Flit is currently $8 to win the 1600m G1 Flight Stakes and $18 to win the Thousand Guineas with Sportsbet.

Feature Race Replay: Flit’s 2nd placing in the Percy Sykes Stakes

Saone 3yo Filly trained by Lindsey Smith
There was plenty of early money for Saone prior to her debut performance over 1300m at Bendigo in an open maiden and she turned in a blinding run from near last to finish 3rd, she ran the quickest last 1000m of the day and the 2nd fastest last 400m and 4th quickest last 200m of the entire meeting on that occasion. Her close was visually and sectionally impressive having run her last 600m in +8.2 lengths above the PuntingForm.com.au all benchmark, which is a very good figure to run on debut. She has since been to Ballarat and won her maiden on the synthetic track at the short price of a $1.50 in a workmen like style, she was back in the field and looked like she resented the kick back but her class prevailed to win whilst giving the punters a scare who launched at the $1.50. Post-race trainer Lindsey Smith commented to Racing.com that she was “never in doubt” and he also hinted she would be progressing to bigger and better things in the spring and potentially even a VRC Oaks campaign is on the cards this looks a suitable target as she is a lovely moving filly who looks like she will get over ground. Saone is currently $41 to win the Kennedy Oaks with Sportsbet, she looks a great future’s bet for mine at the current price.

Feature Race Replay: Saone’s Ballart Synthetic Maiden Victory

Supernova 5yo Horse trained by Team Hawkes
This Import is now into his second Australian racing preparation with Team Hawkes. He made a strong impression on his debut in Australia when he ran a slashing 2nd  over 1500m at Rosehill clocking the 2nd fastest last 1200m section and the 4th fastest last 200m of the meeting. He then stepped 400m in distance to win at Rosehill over 1900m where started a firm $2.90 favourite and won effortlessly ploughing through the heavy conditions and clocked the 11th fastest 200m of the meeting on a day where subsequent Golden Slipper winner Kiamichi and Australian Oaks winner Very Elleegant both won. After that win he then stepped up significantly in trip in the Chairman’s Stakes over 2600m where he started a respected favourite and ran a credible race behind subsequent Sydney Cup winner Shraooh. For mine his Autumn preparation looked quite rushed and he seemed like he lacked a platform when leading into his failure in the Chairman’s. I think now with that preparation under his under belt he can only be improved and will be a spring player over the Sydney Carnival with races like the Hill Stakes, Kingston Town Stakes and The Metropolitan looking likely targets for him. He has had a barrier trial over 900m at Rosehill on the 6th of August where he settled back in the field and attacked the line his last 100m, he looks in good order for his spring campaign.  He is currently a $15 chance to win Group 1 The Metropolitan in a year that lacks depth I think he can definitely give it a shake if he heads in that direction.

Nick Noonan

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